← DTR Regionals @ Hobby Lords Lower Hutt
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at DTR Regionals @ Hobby Lords Lower Hutt
decks
2
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
7-4-1
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.8%
avg ELO +3.3 per match
expected value
52.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1296
· median 1296
· range 1259–1334
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
921
Q1 1147
Q3 1347
1599
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.2% | -0.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -14.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.1% | +10.7 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.5% | -7.2 |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Water Genbu | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Fire Suited | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | +3.4 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Seiryuu | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
